Photo from Tiger Hawk blog.
BritainAndAmerica still believes that "the machine" - her advisors, ground organisation and money - will see Hillary Clinton become the Democrat nominee but recent events have started to raise serious doubts about her "inevitability". Obama - although way behind in national polls - is edging ahead in the first two primary states of Iowa and New Hampshire. He's competitive in South Carolina.
Here are some of the factors that are causing people begin to think that Barack Obama may yet triumph:
Last week's Oprah-Obama show; with one of America's most popular TV presenters endorsing the young Illinois Senator at electric rallies.
Mis-messaging. Obama has emphasised a message of change. Clinton has emphasised her experience. Dick Morris thinks Obama has chosen the better message because the Democrat grassroots "intensely dislikes things as they are".
Continuing concerns that there is something too cold, too calculating about Hillary Clinton. Her mechanical laugh - on show again this week - is one of the causes of this suspicion. Bill Clinton's appearances on the campaign trail only reinforce this sense. Toby Harnden wrote this for today's Telegraph:
"Bill's easy rapport with voters provides a ready contrast with Hillary's awkwardness, reminding Americans that if he has an heir in his ability to connect to crowds on campaign trail, it is not his wife, but her would-be nemesis. While Mr Obama has journeyed to remote rural areas and answered hundreds of questions, Mrs Clinton has sought refuge in canned speeches and stage-managed "meet and greets" in diners. Her aides were caught planting easy questions in Iowa - an act of sacrilege in a state that cherishes its role as a laboratory for retail politics."
As Peggy Noonan has noted Bill also tends to talk a lot about himself: "He is showing up all over in Iowa and New Hampshire, speaking, shaking hands, drawing crowds. But when he speaks, he has a tendency to speak about himself. It's all, always, me-me-me in his gigantic bullying neediness."
The dislike factor has been reinforced by mean-spirited attacks on Obama. A national co-chairman of her campaign resigned after speculating about Obama's drug use in his youth. The Clinton campaign also issued a press release accusing Obama of wanting to be President all of his life. Pot, kettle and black come to mind.