LATEST OPINION POLLING
Amongst Republican candidates Giuliani is now fourth in national voting intentions with just 12.6% of the vote. McCain leads with 29.6%, nearly 10% ahead of Huckabee and with twice the support of Romney. A win in South Carolina on Saturday will be a massive boost to his campaign. In recent polling he has overtaken Huckabee there.
Obama is 7% ahead of Clinton in the Democrats' South Carolina primary.
GOP-INCLINED VOTERS LIKE McCAIN BUT NOT HIS POSITIONS
That is the conclusion of exit polling analysed by David Freddoso: "In each state, McCain prevailed among those who chose their candidate based on “personal qualities” — 48 percent in New Hampshire and 41 percent in Michigan. He lost badly among those who chose based on “issues,” taking only 25 and 23 percent, respectively. The difference between victory and defeat was that New Hampshirites voted personal qualities over issues — 52 to 44 percent. Michiganders stuck to the issues, 58 to 39 percent."
Matthew Continetti does not think that McCain's positions will ultimately hurt him among conservatives. His "heterodoxies" - eg on campaign finance reform and climate change - are not the issues that determine how conservatives vote, Continetti writes. His opposition to Bush's tax cuts and alliance with Ted Kennedy on immigration may be more difficult, however...
Washington Wire speculates that Lieberman may be McCain's running mate if he wins the GOP nomination. That would worry many Republicans. Although Lieberman is a security hawk he's left-leaning on many issues and would become President should McCain die in office.
And on the subject of running mates, Daniel Finkelstein recommends that Obama pick Al Gore. He lists ten reasons.
OBAMA: REAGAN CHANGED THE COUNTRY IN A WAY THAT CLINTON DIDN'T
Bill is going to love that!
If you missed Hillary Clinton's impersonation of an air stewardess click here for a funny one minute video.